Speculate on world events and bet on your beliefs.

 

What will be the price of the most expensive property sold in Manhattan this week?

Closes in:

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About

  • You will be ranked with the other participants based on how close you are to the final result. For example, if the result is $10 million, a prediction of $9.6 million will be ranked higher than one of $10.9 million.

  • The Olshan luxury market report will be used as the resolution source.

How many properties worth $4 million or more will be sold in Manhattan this week?

Closes in:

Screen Shot 2021-05-05 at 1.23.11 AM.png

About

  • You will be ranked with the other participants based on how close you are to the final result. For example, if the result is 35 listings, a prediction of 33 listings will be ranked higher than one of 41.

  • The Olshan luxury market report will be used as the resolution source.

How does it work?

  • Each prediction contest consists of 1,000 participants and will automatically close when it gets filled. The entrance fee for each market is $100. As shown on the payoffs table, 50% of participants in your prediction contest will turn a profit.

  • You will be ranked with the other participants based on how close your prediction ends up being to the final result. This means that you don't necessarily have to be correct to win- you just have to be closer to the final result than 50% of participants.

  • If you make the same prediction as other participants, you will be ranked above them if you submitted your prediction choice earlier than them.

  • Earnings can be spent on our luxury services or cashed out to your bank account for a 10% fee.

  • If you'd like to invest more than $100, please fill the form again and pay the entrance fee for each additional prediction choice.

 

What is something you wish you could speculate on?

Let us know about your prediction contest wish and if it gets approved, you will get paid 5% of its total final volume. Please be as specific as possible.